Figure 5.9 



Historical Trend in Grazing by Type of Livestock and Extension of Trend to 2030 



Mil. Animal Unit Months 

 1400 r- 



1200 



1000 



800 



600 



400 



200 



Beef Cattle 



^•«N^^"'y Sheep and Goats 



orses and Mules 



•-^•p:2^^=-r~./^ 



1965 



1975 



1985 



1995 



2005 



2015 



2025 



In addition, the heavy substitution of grains for 

 grazing in beef production cannot be repeated. In 

 fact, the desire for less fat in beef may result in less 

 grain used in beef production, resulting in further 

 increases in demand for grazing. Thus, increases in 

 beef production will require additional quantities of 

 grazed roughages. 



Projected Regional Demands 

 for All Grazing 



Projections of demand for grazing by geographic 

 regions are based on the distribution of the demand 

 for all grazing (table 5.13). Projections were based 

 upon the traditional pattern of grazing and do not 

 include alternatives that consider the relative produc- 

 tion capabilities and costs of grazing among the 

 regions. It is assumed that the regional distribution of 

 demand for all grazing will be the same for both 

 range and nonrange grazing. 



Table 5.13 —Indexes of projected demand 



(medium level) for grazing by sections and 



regions in the contiguous States 



(1976 = 100) 



Section 

 and 



1976 



1990 



2000 



2010 



2020 



2030 



region 















North 

 Northeast 

 North Central 



100 

 100 



133 

 124 



138 

 129 



138 

 132 



138 

 135 



138 

 137 



South 



100 



153 



170 



177 



181 



185 



Rocky Mountains 

 and Great Plains 

 Rocky 



Mountains 

 Great Plains 



100 

 100 



108 

 137 



128 

 148 



132 

 154 



134 

 158 



136 

 161 



Pacific Coast 



100 



122 



131 



135 



137 



138 



Total 



100 



132 



143 



148 



151 



154 



180 



