Table 6.2 — Lumber consumption in the United States, by species group and major end use 

 1962, 1970, and 1976, with projections (base level) to 2030 





Total 



Per 



capita 



average 



By species group 



By end use 



Year 



Softvk^oods 



Hardwoods 



New 

 housing 



Residential 



upkeep and 



improvements 



New non- 

 residential 

 construction' 



Man- 

 facturing 



Shipping 



All 

 other 

 uses^ 



1962 

 1970 

 1976 



Million 



board 



feet 



37.300 

 39.500 

 42,700 



Board 

 feet 



200 

 193 

 199 



Million 



board 



feet 



30,800 

 32.100 

 36.200 



Million 



board 



feet 



6,500 

 7,300 

 6,500 



Million 



board 



feet 



13,940 

 12,270 

 16,555 



Million 



board 



feet 



4,400 

 4,690 

 5,690 



Million 



board 



feet 



4,200 

 4,700 

 4,470 



Million 



board 



feet 



4,240 

 4,670 

 4,300 



Million 



board 



feet 



4,340 

 5,720 

 6,900 



Million 



board 



feet 



6,180 

 7,450 

 4.785 



Low projections^ 



1990 



55,210 



234 



45,540 



9,670 



22,160 



7,110 



5,590 



5,270 



9.030 



6,050 



2000 



55,110 



224 



44,610 



10,500 



18,970 



7,680 



5,910 



5,640 



10,300 



6,610 



2010 



59,440 



237 



47,680 



11,760 



20,170 



8,140 



6,240 



6.050 



11,650 



7,190 



2020 



61,490 



243 



48,360 



13,130 



19,920 



8,570 



6,540 



6.160 



12,690 



7,610 



2030 



59,780 



240 



45,790 



13,990 



15,945 



8,730 



6,900 



6.420 



13,760 



8,025 



Medium projections^ 



1990 



57,950 



238 



47,830 



10,120 



23,700 



7,160 



5,870 



5,530 



9,420 



6,270 



2000 



59,880 



230 



48,590 



11,290 



21,665 



7,790 



6,320 



6,130 



10,980 



6,995 



2010 



65,310 



237 



52,430 



12,880 



23.010 



8,390 



6,810 



6,790 



12,570 



7,740 



2020 



66,590 



230 



51,970 



14,620 



21,050 



8,850 



7,290 



7,220 



13,850 



8,330 



2030 



67,270 



224 



51,290 



15,980 



18,305 



9,080 



7,850 



7,900 



15,180 



8,955 



High projections^ 



1990 



60,550 



238 



49,990 



10,560 



25,105 



7.210 



6.160 



5.780 



9,810 



6,485 



2000 



64,370 



228 



52,320 



12,050 



24,130 



7.900 



6.760 



6.610 



11,610 



7,360 



2010 



72,600 



230 



58,600 



14,000 



27.190 



8.730 



7.430 



7.500 



13,440 



8,310 



2020 



72,660 



205 



56,600 



16,060 



23.060 



9.260 



8.120 



8.210 



14,930 



9,080 



2030 



77,830 



198 



59,940 



17,890 



23,660 



9.680 



8.920 



9,210 



16,450 



9,910 



' In addition to new construction, includes railroad ties laid as replacements in 

 existing track. 



'Includes upkeep and improvement of nonresidential buildings and structures; 

 made-at-home projects, such as furniture, boats, and picnic tables; made-on-the- 

 job items, such as advertising and display structures; and a wide variety of 

 miscellaneous products and uses. 



'Projections based on alternate assumptions about growth in population and 

 economic activity as specified in the section on basic assumptions. 



Note: Data may not add to totals due to rounding. 



Source: Data for 1962, 1970 and 1976 based on information published by U.S. 

 Departments of Agriculture and Commerce. 



Projections: U.S. Department of Agriculture. Forest Service. 



Demand for pulpwood is a derived demand in the 

 sense that it is determined by demands for paper, 

 board, and other pulp products. Consumption of 

 paper and board has risen from about 8 milUon tons 

 in 1920 to 66.2 million tons in 1977. Per capita con- 

 sumption has also increased rapidly from 145 to 61 1 

 pounds. 



Consumption of most major grades of paper and 

 board has increased substantially in recent years. 

 However, there have been large differences in the 

 rates of growth. These have resulted from such fac- 

 tors as changes in consumer tastes, development of 

 new pulp-based products, inroads of substitutes, and 

 varying rates of growth in major sectors of the econ- 

 omy. In partial recognition of these differences, the 

 various types and grades of paper and board have 

 been grouped into three categories — paper, paper- 



board, and building board (insulation board and 

 hardboard) — that have a common relation to one or 

 more of the determinants of demand such as eco- 

 nomic activity or income. 



Most paper is consumed in one form or another by 

 individuals, with the level of use being a function of 

 income. Consequently, there has been a close statisti- 

 cal relation between changes in per capita consump- 

 tion of paper and changes in per capita disposable 

 personal income. On the other hand, for paperboard, 

 which is used primarily for packaging industrial and 

 agricultural commodities, per capita consumption 

 has shown a closer relation to changes in the per 

 capita gross national product. Most of the growth in 

 the consumption of building board, which is used in 

 construction for such purposes as sheathing and 

 underlayment and in manufacturing, has been asso- 

 ciated with changes in those sectors of the economy. 



204 



