Table 6.3 — Plywood consumption in tlie United States, by species group and major end use, 

 1962, 1970, and 1976, with projections (base level) to 2030 



(Va-inch basis) 





Total 



Per 



capita 



average 



By species group 



By end use 



Year 



Softwoods 



Hardwoods 



New 

 housing 



Residential 



upkeep and 



improvements 



New non- 

 residential 

 construction 



Manu- 

 facturing 



Shipping 



All 

 Other 

 uses' 



1962 

 1970 

 1976 



Million 



square 



feet 



11,716 

 17,822 

 20,716 



Square 

 feet 



63 

 87 

 96 



Million 



square 



feet 



9,311 

 14,038 

 17,135 



Million 



square 



feet 



2,404 

 3,784 

 3,581 



Million 



square 



feet 



4,180 

 6,330 

 8.410 



Million 



square 



feet 



1.030 

 2,510 

 3,350 



Million 



square 



feet 



1,690 

 1,939 

 1,875 



Million 



square 



feet 



1,870 

 1,656 

 1,550 



Million 



square 



feet 



2 



591 

 738 



Million 



square 



feet 



2,946 

 4,796 

 4,793 



Low projections^ 



1990 



27,800 



118 



22,670 



5,130 



11,190 



4,160 



3,130 



1,750 



1.100 



6,470 



2000 



27,850 



113 



22,450 



5,400 



9,420 



4,490 



3,660 



1,870 



1.230 



7,175 



2010 



30,050 



120 



24.260 



5.790 



10,005 



4,760 



4,210 



1,900 



1,370 



7.805 



2020 



31.390 



124 



25,330 



6,060 



9,850 



5.080 



4,620 



1,970 



1,480 



8,390 



2030 



30.490 



122 



24,410 



6,080 



7.885 



5.240 



5,020 



1,930 



1,610 



8,805 



Medium projections^ 



1990 



29,000 



119 



23,670 



5,330 



11,970 



4,190 



3,230 



1,840 



1,140 



6,630 



2000 



30,050 



115 



24,280 



5,770 



10,785 



4.550 



3,860 



2,040 



1.310 



7,505 



2010 



32,840 



119 



26,590 



6,250 



11,430 



4,900 



4,540 



2,150 



1,480 



8.340 



2020 



33.830 



117 



27,220 



6,610 



10,420 



5,240 



5,100 



2,330 



1,620 



9.120 



2030 



34.130 



114 



27,290 



6,840 



9,070 



5,450 



5,680 



2,400 



1,770 



9,760 



High projections^ 



1990 



30,170 



118 



24,640 



5,530 



12,680 



4,220 



3,330 



1,920 



1,210 



6.810 



2000 



32,140 



114 



26,010 



6,130 



12.025 



4,620 



4,070 



2,200 



1,390 



7,835 



2010 



36,390 



115 



29,510 



6,880 



13,525 



5,100 



4.900 



2.370 



1,590 



8,905 



2020 



36,890 



104 



29.670 



7,220 



11,420 



5,480 



5.660 



2,660 



1,750 



9.920 



2030 



39,540 



101 



31.770 



7,770 



11,755 



5,810 



6,440 



2,800 



1,920 



10.815 



' Inclucles upkeep and improvement of nonresidential buildings and structures; 

 mining; made-at-home projects, such as furniture and boats; made-on-the-job 

 items, such as advertising and display structures; and a v^ide variety of other 

 miscellaneous products and uses. Also includes shipping in 1962. 



'Included in all other uses. 



'Projections based on alternate assumptions about growth in population and 

 economic activity as specified in the section on basic assumptions. 



Note; Estimates for manufacturing, shipping, and all other uses include veneer. 



Sources: Data for 1962, 1970 and 1976 based on information published by U.S. 

 Departments of Agriculture and Commerce. 



Projections: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 



On the basis of past relations and trends, total 

 demand for paper, paperboard, and building board at 

 base level price trends is projected to rise to 123.4 

 million tons (medium level) in 2000, and to 194.4 

 million tons in 2030 — some three times 1976 con- 

 sumption. Projections of per capita demand also rise, 

 reaching 948 pounds in 2000 and 1,296 pounds in 

 2030, although the rates of growth drop throughout 

 the projection period. 



Effects of the alternative assumptions on growth in 

 population and gross national product are substan- 

 tial, with projected total demand for paper and board 

 ranging from a low of 1 57.0 to a high of 25 1 .5 million 

 tons in 2030. 



In addition to changes in demand for paper and 

 board, the amounts and kinds of fibrous materials 



used in its manufacture will strongly influence future 

 demand for pulpwood. Since the 1920's, average use 

 of fibrous material per ton of production (all grades 

 of paper and board combined) has shown little varia- 

 tion, ranging from 0.992 to 1.092 tons. 



Although there has not been much change in the 

 amount of fibrous materials used per ton of paper 

 and board produced, there have been changes in the 

 mix of fibers consumed. For example, since 1950 new 

 woodpulp has risen from roughly two-thirds to 

 around four-fifths of the total fibrous mix. Use of 

 wastepaper, on the other hand, declined from around 

 a third of the total fibers used in 1950 to around 19 

 percent in 1977. Use of other fibers dropped from 

 about 5 percent to less than 2 percent. 



205 



