Thousand employees 
250 
200 
Base 
150 
100 
50 
1990 2000 
6 
Increased imports 
2010 2020 2030 
Figure 4.9—Projections of employment in the pulp and paper products industry in the South, with and without increased 
imports of timber products 
and salaries in the pulp and paper industry show the same 
percentage decrease. 
Total State and local government revenues are nearly $9 
billion below the base by 2030, reflecting the lower level of 
pulp production in both the Southeast and South Central 
regions. Investments in the lumber and wood products indus- 
try show a small increase; those in the pulp and paper prod- 
ucts industry, a small decrease. 
Reduced Timberland Area 
As described in chapter 3, there is always major uncer- 
tainty associated with land-use changes. At the present time 
the outlook for the cropland that will be needed to meet do- 
mestic and export demands for farm products seems espe- 
cially uncertain. There are two major causes of this: (1) fu- 
ture trends in crop yields, and (2) export demands. 
In the base projections, it was assumed that the cropland 
area in the Southern States (excluding western Texas and 
Any further clearing of timberland in the 
South would in time reduce net annual 
timber growth and inventories and increase 
prices for stumpage and finished products. 
However, if this kind of change occurs 
gradually, most of the impacts would be 
beyond 2030, the end of the projection 
period in this study. 
in) 
— 
N 
