Table 4.1—Simulated effects of selected futures on projected softwood roundwood supplies on all ownerships; net annual growth and 
inventories of growing stock by private ownership and region; and softwood stumpage price indexes, lumber production, plywood production, 
and pulpwood consumption, by region, in the South, selected years 1984-2030—Continued 
(All projections at equilibrium levels) 
Increased 
management 
Natural Planted All intensity on 
High High Reduced regeneration pine Economic economic _ forest industry 
Improved exports imports Reduced Reduced national on marginal on marginal opportunities opportunities timberlands in 
Base processing of timber of timber timberland timber forest cropland cropland on private on private Douglas-fir 
Item and year projection! efficiency? products? _products* area> growth® harvest’ and pasture® and pasture” timberlands'° lands!! region!” 
Softwood sawtimber 
stumpage prices a i ndex.of prices 1984 = 100 
Southeast 
1984 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 
1990 125.1 111.3 129.9 119.8 125¢5 129.2 129.5 123.2 124.9 130.8 130.6 127.0 
2000 200.7 175.1 201.3 190.1 201.6 216.3 223.3 184.4 188.6 198.2 193.5 199.3 
2010 200.3 145.4 188.5 206.9 210.5 297.9 213.1 184.0 168.6 175.0 186.8 187.1 
2020 229.7 170.8 242.1 240.6 250.0 396.8 271.9 225.7 220.7 207.1 191.0 248.1 
2030 252.5 163.6 257.7 224.5 259.9 432.3 310.8 222.0 189.7 206.2 158.1 267.4 
South Central 
1984 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 
1990 112.9 102.0 108.7 111.8 114.0 122.4 118.5 109.7 112.9 109.7 109.7 109.9 
2000 166.2 134.0 169.1 149.8 161.3 198.7 168.4 156.2 162.3 158.4 15257 167.9 
2010 186.5 148.3 184.1 174.8 183.5 250.8 202.5 179.4 180.1 180.2 177.1 180.0 
2020 237.8 177.4 228.5 220.5 236.2 317.4 254.9 218.4 202.0 208.2 180.6 225.2 
2030 242.7 166.4 244.9 214.8 235.0 350.2 271.0 208.9 196.2 200.7 160.3 224.6 
Softwood pulpwood 
stumpage prices 
Southeast 
1984 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 
1990 122.0 110.2 130.5 110.2 123.7 133.9 127.1 120.3 122.0 127.1 127.1 123.7 
2000 181.4 172.9 200.0 152.5 186.4 235.6 200.0 164.4 169.5 179.7 171.2 181.4 
2010 189.8 155.9 208.5 147.5 203.4 342.4 201.7 161.0 152.5 154.2 144.1 179.7 
2020 201.7 171.2 247.5 145.8 225.4 449.2 227.1 171.2 161.0 144.1 116.9 208.5 
2030 232.2 174.6 276.3 164.4 247.5 484.7 278.0 200.0 167.8 167.8 123.7 240.7 
South Central 
1984 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 
1990 104.5 102.3 109.1 93.2 104.5 122.7 111.4 102.3 104.5 102.3 102.3 102.3 
2000 154.5 145.5 V2 122.7 154.5 245.5 161.4 143.2 150.0 150.0 145.5 156.8 
2010 170.5 159.1 193.2 120.5 170.5 361.4 184.1 150.0 154.5 154.5 143.2 165.9 
2020 179.5 165.9 213.6 115.9 181.8 479.5 193.2 154.5 143.2 145.5 118.2 175.0 
2030 252.3 188.6 281.8 184.1 247.7 513.6 279.5 209.1 193.2 193.2 150.0 234.1 
435 
