Table 4.2—Simulated effects of selected futures on projected softwood roundwood supplies, net annual growth, and inventories of 
growing stock on private ownerships by section or region; softwood stumpage price indexes, softwood lumber and plywood production, and 
roundwood pulpwood consumption by section or region; and softwood lumber price indexes and imports in the United States, selected 
years 1984—-2030—Continued 
(All projections at equilibrium levels) 
Increased 
management 
Natural Planted All intensity on 
High High Reduced regeneration pine Economic economic _ forest industry 
Improved — exports imports Reduced Reduced national on marginal on marginal opportunities opportunities timberlands in 
Base processing of timber of timber timberland — timber forest cropland cropland on private on private Douglas-fir 
Item and year projection! efficiency? products? products* area? growth® harvest’ and pasture® and pasture’? timberlands!° lands!! region!” 
Softwood lumber 
production 7 Million board feet, lumber tally 
South 
1984 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 10,008 
1990 11,710 11,816 11,569 11,745 11,710 10,975 11,705 11,744 11,712 11,449 11,450 11,518 
2000 13,146 13,524 13,221 13,105 12,902 10,875 13,204 13,263 13,216 13,008 13,122 13,131 
2010 14,390 14,760 14,557 = 14,987 14,203 11,045 14,444 15,239 15,003 14,885 16,097 14,337 
2020 17,148 17,503 17,198 18,135 16,897 11,789 17,452 18,426 18,695 18,891 20,265 17,292 
2030 18,545 18,333 18,313 19,272 17,971 12,505 19,091 19,477 20,005 21,006 22,096 18,711 
North 
1984 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 1,360 
1990 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 1,807 
2000 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 
2010 2,053 2,053 2,053 2,053 2,053 2,053 2,053 2,053 2,053 2,053 23053 2,053 
2020 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 2,198 
2030 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 2,343 
Rocky Mountain 
1984 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 4,163 
1990 4,302 4,398 4,345 4,303 4,304 4,331 4,175 4,308 4,302 4,337 4,337 4,329 
2000 4,737 4,959 4,783 4,741 4,763 4,852 4,471 4,707 4,730 4,767 4,759 4,744 
2010 4,985 5,339 5,065 4,971 5,036 5,256 4,714 4,931 4,955 4,983 4,889 4,996 
2020 55239 5,650 5,263 5,170 5,273 5,510 4,874 5,063 5,082 5,040 4,965 5,125 
2030 5,195 5,607 5,203 5,168 5,226 5,432 4,797 5,023 5,041 4,994 4,947 5,027 
Pacific Northwest 
1984 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 10,913 
1990 11,030 10,996 11,298 11,016 11,028 11,376 10,953 11,021 11,029 11,049 11,049 11,044 
2000 10,754 10,579 11,702 =10,740 10,780 11,517 10,521 10,725 10,745 10,778 10,766 10,916 
2010 11,228 11,074 12,663 11,117 11,224 11,790 10,424 10,929 11,154 11,021 11,004 11,631 
2020 11,507 11,651 13,746 11,224 11,534 11,790 10,214 11,228 11,112 11,031 10,604 12,230 
2030 10,522 11,859 14,089 10,416 10,502 = 10,220 9,006 10,466 10,271 10,111 9,890 12,442 
Pacific Southwest 
1984 3,982 3,982 3,982 3,982 3,982 3,982 3,982 3,982 3,982 3,982 3,982 982 
1990 4,279 4,429 4,350 4,277 4,279 4,496 4,116 4,275 4,279 4,324 4,324 4,362 
2000 4,572 4,908 4,554 4,611 4,614 4,645 4,177 4,565 4,570 4,565 4,559 4,533 
2010 5,187 5,562 5,166 5,203 5,244 5,219 4,729 5,164 5,170 5,181 5,100 5,149 
2020 5,613 6,179 5,588 5,685 5,740 5,727 5,154 5,588 5,590 5,597 5,588 53572 
2030 5,904 6,629 5,909 6,066 5,996 5,922 5,460 5,905 5,873 5,804 5,828 5,329 
443 
