Table 4.4—Simulated effects of selected futures on projected hardwood roundwood supplies, net annual growth, and inventories of growing 
stock on private ownerships by section or region; hardwood stumpage prices indexes, hardwood lumber and roundwood pulpwood consumption 
by section or region; and hardwood lumber price indexes in the United States, selected years 1984-2030—Continued 
(All projections at equilibrium levels) 
Increased 
management 
Natural Planted All intensity on 
High High Reduced regeneration pine Economic economic _ forest industry 
Improved exports imports Reduced Reduced national on marginal on marginal opportunities opportunities timberlands in 
Base processing of timber of timber timberland — timber forest cropland cropland on private on private Douglas-fir 
Item and year projection’! efficiency? products* products* area? growth® harvest’ and pasture® and pasture? timberlands!° lands!! region!” 
Hardwood sawtimber 
stumpage prices Index of prices 1984 = 100 
Southeast 
1984 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 
1990 90.1 OO munReso. = SIU 2 89.3 90.1 93.4 93.4 
2000 81.4 82.2 79.9 Soar ae83N5 71.9 82.2 95.2 95.9 
2010 95.3 97.8 90.9 103.0 98.6 85.4 98.7 132.2 135.9 
2020 114.9 (24a 05.2, 129.290 120.4 98.2 118.8 177.8 180.0 
2030 122.2 isso mant05.91, | 144 SNe ISI 7 98.5 122.6 201.8 197.7 
South Central 
1984 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 
1990 89.5 89.8 89.0 90.4 91.0 87.6 89.5 91.8 91.8 
2000 80.1 81.2 78.3 82.7 82.7 73.4 81.0 89.3 90.2 
2010 97.6 100.9 93.0 103.1 101.8 82.1 100.7 122.3 124.8 
2020 119.3 126.6 109.4 129.5 126.1 96.1 120.1 156.9 155.0 
2030 129.8 141.9 113.4 145.4 140.0 99.8 124.1 173.7 163.9 
Northeast 
1984 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 
1990 90.0 90.6 90.2 90.1 90.2 89.8 90.0 90.3 90.3 
2000 82.2 83.6 82.4 82.5 82.4 81.5 82.2 83.2 83.2 
2010 84.6 87.0 84.0 85.2 85.0 83.2 84.9 87.4 87.7 
2020 91.6 95.1 88.9 92.6 92.2 89.4 91.8 96.0 96.0 
2030 97.7 102.0 91.7 99.3 98.7 94.8 97.3 102.9 102.2 
North Central 
1984 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 
1990 93.3 92.9 92.3 93.4 93.4 93.1 93.3 93.5 9305: 
2000 92.6 92.0 89.9 92.9 92.9 92.0 9207 93.6 93.6 
2010 98.5 99.0 93.9 99.0 98.9 97.1 98.8 101.2 101.4 
2020 107.1 111.6 100.7 108.2 107.7 105.0 107.3 111.4 111.4 
2030 110.8 121.9 103.5 112.4 111.7 108.0 110.4 116.0 115.3 
457 
