Table 4.5—Simulated effects of selected futures on projected employment and wages and salaries in forest industries, investments in plants 
and equipment, State and local government revenues, in the South, selected years 1984-2030 
(All projections at equilibrium levels) 
Increased 
management 
Natural Planted All intensity on 
High High Reduced regeneration pine Economic economic __ forest industry 
Improved — exports imports Reduced Reduced national on marginal on marginal opportunities opportunities timberlands in 
Base processing of timber of timber timberland — timber forest cropland cropland on private on private Douglas-fir 
Item and year projection’ efficiency? products* products* area? growth® harvest’ and pasture* and pasture? timberlands!° lands! region'? 
Employment in 
lumber and wood 
products a ra ea oe re mea a an eared 1 LOUSANANCINDIOVEES, 
industry 
1984 232.1 232.1 232.1 232.1 232.1 232.1 232.1 232.1 2395 2321 232.1 232.1 
1990 240.4 233.6 238.4 239.4 240.2 226.5 243.9 240.8 240.4 238.8 238.8 240.2 
2000 229.9 216.0 228.3 225.6 225.6 197.7 230.9 23101 229.8 226.4 227.1 229.2 
2010 207.4 190.4 201.3 214.7 204.0 164.8 211.4 218.0 ZASEZ P3) Rp) 230.1 201.3 
2020 198.9 176.1 191.3 210.3 195.0 130.8 204.2 214.3 214.8 217.8 231.9 199.7 
2030 177.9 154.7 172.3 186.4 170.5 117.4 188.3 191.6 194.9 202.6 214.1 178.4 
Employment in pulp 
and paper products 
industry 
1984 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 174.9 
1990 170.7 170.9 175.7 163.1 170.7 170.9 170.8 170.8 170.7 170.8 170.8 170.8 
2000 165.4 165.9 174.1 151.4 165.4 166.0 165.4 165.4 165.4 165.5 165.4 165.4 
2010 157.9 158.5 170.2 137.2 157.9 158.5 157.9 157.6 157.7 157.8 157.6 157.9 
2020 150.1 150.7 164.8 126.3 150.1 154.7 150.1 149.8 149.7 149.8 149.5 150.1 
2030 144.2 144.9 161.2 117.3 144.4 145.2 144.2 144.0 144.0 143.8 143.7 144.2 
Wages and salaries 
in lumber and wood I yiltion (1967) dollars 
products industry 
1984 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 1,020.5 
1990 1,223.3 1,188.5 1,213.0 1,219.0 1,222.3 1,152.5 1,240.8 1,225.3 1,223.3 1,215.0 1,215.0 1,221.9 
2000 1,258.0 1,187.5 1,254.9 1,240.2 1,239.9 1,086.7 1,269.3 1,270.3 1,263.1 1,244.6 1,248.3 1,259.9 
2010 1,214.7 1,115.2 1,178.6 1,257.4 1,194.4 965.3 1,238.0 1,276.5 1,260.4 1,242.5 1,347.6 1,178.9 
2020 1,229.1 1,087.9 1,182.1 1,299.2 1,204.9 808.4 1,261.6 1,323.9 1,327.5 1,345.6 1,432.7 1,234.1 
2030 1,151.8 1,001.6 1,115.3 1,206.9 1,103.6 760.2 1,219.1 1,240.6 1,261.6 1,311.8 1,385.9 1,154.9 
Wages and salaries 
in pulp and paper 
products industry 
1984 1,393.0 1,393.0 1,393.0 1,393.0 1,393.0 1,393.0 1,393.0 1,393.0. 1,393.0 1,393.0 1,393.0 1,393.0 
1990 1,446.2 1,447.4 1,488.2 1,381.6 1,446.2 1,447.4 1,446.5 1,446.5 1,446.2 1,446.8 1,446.8 1,446.8 
2000 1,479.5 1,483.3 1,556.8 1,354.2 1,479.5 1,484.4 1,479.2 1,479.0 1,479.2 1,479.8 1,479.5 1,479.2 
2010 1,476.0 1,481.5 1,591.5 1,283.1 1,476.3 1,482.3 1,476.0 1,473.9 1,474.5 1,475.5 1,473.4 1,476.8 
2020 1,456.8 1,463.1 1,600.0 1,226.5 1,457.3 1,502.2 1,456.8 1,454.4 1,453.7 1,454.2 1,451.5 1,4 
2030 1,446.7 1,454.1 1,616.8 1,177.0 1,448.3 1,456.4 1,446.3 1,445.1 1,445.1 1,443.0 1,441.2 1,446.5 
461 
