Table 4.5—Simulated effects of selected futures on projected employment and wages and salaries in forest industries, investments i 
plants and equipment, State and local government revenues, in the South, selected years 1984-2030—Continued 
(All projections at equilibrium levels) 
High High 
Improved exports imports Reduced 
Base processing of timber of timber timberland 
Item and year projection! efficiency? products*  products* area? 
Investments in lumber 
and wood products 
industry 
1984 163.4 163.4 163.4 163.4 163.4 
1990 181.8 178.1 180.8 180.9 181.3 
2000 163.2 160.0 160.8 161.0 161.1 
2010 167.6 164.8 156.3 174.3 165.0 
2020 185.5 176.9 174.7 195;5 182.2 
2030 ig Esra 164.3 167.6 182.9 166.3 
Investments in 
pulp and paper 
products industry 
1984 1,768.7 1,768.7 1,768.7 1,768.7 = 1,768.7 
1990 2,673.3 2,676.5 2,680.2 2,663.5 2,673.4 
2000 3,030.2 3,036.3 3,037.5 3,019.8 3,031.1 
2010 3,017.5 3,025.1 3,030.5 2,997.0 3,018.0 
2020 3,143.3 3,152.4 3,159.2 3,118.9 3,144.1 
2030 3,256.2 3,266.6 3,274.5 3,227.7 3,259.2 
Total State and local 
government 
revenue 
Southeast 
1984 45,934 45,934 45,934 45,934 45,934 
1990 52.411 51,718 53,146 51,307 50,192 
2000 66,575 66,921 68,198 64,000 60,836 
2010 80,505 79,943 81,847 77,260 72,571 
2020 94,615 93,750 98,639 91,564 84,707 
2030 107,506 107,636 112,807 101,708 94,196 
South Central 
1984 59,404 59,404 59,404 59,404 59,404 
1990 69,516 69,355 69,784 68,776 68,625 
2000 84,134 83,759 85,164 82,236 81,689 
2010 98,630 98,684 99,756 96,463 95,175 
2020 114,480. 113,655) 115,199 112,110 109,868 
2030 128,121 126,758 129,483 125,171 122,491 
462 
Natural 
Reduced regeneration 
Reduced national on marginal 
timber forest cropland 
growth® harvest’ and pasture* 
Million (1985) dollars 
163.4 163.4 163.4 
167.4 184.5 182.6 
143.0 162.0 165.4 
136.6 169.6 175.5 
131.3 187.6 195.3 
132.7 182.5 182.6 
1,768.7 1,768.7 = 1,768.7 
2,675.8 2,673.4 2,673.2 
3,037.9 3,030.0 3,029.6 
3,026.0 3,017.6 3,014.4 
3,162.3 3,143.9 3,140.2 
3,268.1 3,254.5 3,254.4 
Million (1982) dollars 
45,934 45,934 45,934 
50,485 52,908 55,302 
64,303 67,462 75,274 
77,823 80,679 95,489 
91,261 96,757 112,130 
102,616 110,817 125,794 
59,404 59,404 59,404 
68,658 69,881 71,616 
81,989 84,005 90,421 
94,576 99,445 109,589 
107,005 114,899 125,077 
120,602 128,850 138,482 
Planted 
pine 
on marginal 
cropland 
and pasture? 
163.4 
181.8 
164.1 
17337 
197.6 
187.9 
1,768.7 
2,673.3 
3,030.0 
3,014.9 
3,138.5 
3,254.1 
45,934 
55,302 
75,339 
95,360 
112,368 
126,097 
59,404 
71,573 
90,357 
109,557 
125,013 
139,405 
Economic 
opportunities 
on private 
timberlands!° 
163.4 
182.9 
161.6 
174.5 
202.6 
196.0 
1,768.7 
2,674.3 
3,030.6 
3,016.6 
3,138.2 
3,250.0 
45,934 
52,389 
66,554 
80,917 
99,591 
115,230 
59,404 
69,473 
84,005 
99,681 
115,553 
129,257 
All 
economic 
opportunities 
on private 
lands!! 
163.4 
182.9 
162.3 
187.1 
210.0 
204.0 
1,768.7 
2,674.3 
3,030.4 
3,012.3 
3,134.3 
3,248.3 
45,934 
55,281 
75,274 
98,670 
116,458 
131,420 
59,404 
71,530 
90,207 
110,747 
126,117 
140,316 
Increased 
management 
intensity on 
forest industry 
timberlands in 
Douglas-fir 
region? 
163.4 
184.2 
163.2 
161.1 
186.9 
173.3 
1,768.7 
2,673.8 
3,029.5 
3,019.2 
3,143.7 
35255. 
45,934 
52,475 
66,445 
79,315 
96,432 
108,588 
59,404 
69,538 
84,102 
98 394 
114,051 
127,563 
