172 THE OUTLOOK FOR TIMBER EST THE UNITED STATES 



Table 129. — Value of manufacturing shipments by product group, specified years 1948-70, with projections to 2000 



Year 



All products 



Household furniture 



Commercial and insti- 

 tional furniture 



Consumer goods ' 



Commercial and in- 

 dustrial equipment 2 



Other products 3 





Value 



Annual 

 rate of 

 increase 



Value 



Annual 

 rate of 

 increase 



Value 



Annual 

 rate of 

 increase 



Value 



Annual 

 rate of 

 increase 



Value 



Annual 

 rate of 

 increase 



Value 



Annual 

 rate of 

 increase 



1948 



Billions 

 of 1967 

 dollars 

 244.0 

 265.2 

 352.7 

 380.8 

 498.1 



528.0 

 545.2 

 577.0 

 601.5 

 591.6 



Percent 



Billions 

 of 1967 

 dollars 

 2.4 

 2.7 

 3.5 

 3.8 

 4.9 



5.0 

 5.1 

 5.6 

 5.7 

 5.3 



Percent 



Billions 

 of 1967 

 dollars 

 0.6 

 .8 

 1.1 

 1.4 

 2.0 



2.2 

 2.3 

 2.3 

 2.6 



2.4 



Percent 



Billions 

 of 1967 

 dollars 

 2.4 

 2.8 

 3.0 

 3.7 

 4.6 



4.9 

 5.0 

 5.2 

 5.7 

 5.4 



Percent 



Billions 

 of 1967 

 dollars 

 25.5 

 28.0 

 39.0 

 47.8 

 70.5 



80.0 

 84.1 

 86.0 

 89.7 

 85.0 



Percent 



Billions 

 of 1967 



dollars 

 213.1 

 230.9 

 306.1 

 324.1 

 416.1 



435.9 



448.7 

 477.9 

 497.8 

 493.5 



Percent 



1950 



1955 



1960 



1965. 



1966 



1967. 



1968 



1969 



1970 



1948-70 . 



4.3 

 5.9 

 1.6 

 5.5 



6.0 

 3.3 

 5.8 

 4.2 

 -1.6 



4.1 



6.1 



5.4 

 1.3 

 5.2 



3.8 

 1.2 

 8.9 

 2.2 

 -6.5 



3.6 



13.3 

 8.3 



4.9 

 6.4 



12.3 

 5.3 



.1 

 10.1 

 -7.1 



6.5 



7.8 

 1.0 

 4.2 

 4.9 



5.6 

 1.7 

 5.0 

 9.0 



-4.6 



3.7 



4.9 

 6.9 

 4.2 

 8.1 



13.4 

 5.1 

 2.3 

 4.4 

 -5.3 



5.6 



4.1 

 5.8 

 1.2 

 5.1 



4.7 

 3.0 

 6.5 

 4.15 



-.87 



3.9 



















Low projections 



1980. 

 1990. 

 2000. 



856.4 

 1, 197. 7 

 1,661.4 



<3.5 

 3.4 

 3.3 



8.3 

 11.4 

 15.3 



«3.4 

 3.2 

 3.0 



4.0 

 5.9 

 8.4 



M.3 



4.0 



3.7 



8.0 

 11.2 

 15.4 



<3.8 

 3.9 

 3.3 



152.7 

 241.8 

 375.9 



<4.9 

 4.7 

 4.5 



683.4 



927.4 



1, 246. 4 



<3.2 

 3.1 

 3.0 



Medium projections 



1980 

 1990 

 2000 



907.0 

 1,343.3 

 1, 964. 



<4.1 

 4.0 

 3.9 



12.3 

 17.2 



<3.8 

 3.6 

 3.4 



4.2 

 6.5 

 9.9 



<4.8 

 4.5 



4.3 



8.3 

 12.0 

 17.3 



«4.2 

 3.8 

 3.7 



161.7 

 271.0 

 445.7 



<5.5 

 5.3 

 5.1 



724.2 

 1,041.5 

 1, 473. 9 



«3.8 

 3.7 

 3.5 



High projections 



1980. 

 1990. 

 2000. 



962.1 

 1,512.1 

 2, 358. 5 



«4.7 

 4.6 



4.5 



9.1 

 13.5 



19.5 



<4.4 

 4.0 



3.8 



4.5 

 7.4 



12.1 



<5.5 

 5.2 

 5.0 



13.0 

 19.5 



<4.6 

 4.2 

 4.1 



172.8 

 309.4 

 543.7 



«6. 2 

 6.0 



5.8 



767.1 

 1,168.8 

 1, 763. 7 



«4.4 

 4.3 

 4.2 



1 Includes sporting goods, musical instruments, boat building and repair, 

 toys and games, luggage and trunks, handles, wood pencils, morticians' 

 goods, shoe and boot findings, and wood matches. 



2 Includes commercial refrigeration, signs and displays, patterns and jigs, 

 truck bodies and trailers, general machinery, agricultural implements, 

 electrical equipment, and textile machinery supplies. 



3 All manufactured products except those listed above and products such 

 as pallets, prefabricated wooden buildings and structural members, 

 containers, mobile homes, millwork, flooring, and other similar good., in- 

 cluded in the construction and shipping sections of this study. 



* Rates of increase calculated from the following 1970 trend values: all 

 products, $606.9 billion; household furniture, $5.9 billion; commercial and 

 institutional furniture, $2.63 billion; consumer goods, $5.5 billion; commercial 

 and industrial equipment, $94.2 billion; other products, $498.7 billion. 



Note: Conversion to 1967 dollars by U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest 

 Service. Annual rates of increase are calculated for 5-year periods from 1950 

 through 1965, for 1-year periods 1965 through 1970, and for 10-year periods 

 1970 through 2000. 



Sources: Values of shipments, U.S. Department of Commerce. 1948 and 

 1950 — Value of shipments of selected classes of products, for the United States. 

 Bureau of the Census, MAS-53 (Final). 1955; 1955 — Value of shipments of se- 

 lected classes of products, for the United States. Bureau of the Census, MA-57-2. 

 1959; 1960-69 — Growth in shipments by classes of manufactured products. Bureau 

 of Domestic Commerce. 1971; 1970 — Preliminary Forest Service estimates 

 based on data published in General statistics for industry groups and industries. 

 Bureau of the Census, M-70 (AS)-l. 1972. 



Projections: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 



value of shipments drop significantly over the 

 projection period for all product groups. 



Timber Products Use Per Dollar of Shipments 



There have been divergent trends in use of 

 lumber and other timber products per dollar of 

 shipments of manufactured products (table 130). 

 Use of lumber and veneer and plywood dropped 

 substantially in most product groups, while there 

 were fairly large increases in the use of hardboard 

 and particleboard (Append. V, tables 11-14). 



Part of the decline in use of lumber and plywood 

 per dollar of shipments reflects inroads of alterna- 

 tive materials. Plastics have become particularly 

 important substitutes in furniture manufacture. 

 In this industry use of plastic resins has grown 



from a reported 317 million pounds in 1965, 30 

 to 702 million pounds in 1970. 31 In the latter 

 year plastics composed roughly 12 percent of the 

 combined volume of wood and plastics used in 

 the furniture industry. 



This rapid growth in use of plastics in furniture 

 manufacture was a result of a number of forces. 32 

 Production costs of mass-produced plastic furni- 



30 Wood, Stuart. How are furniture people faring in the 

 strange world of plastics? Here's how in their own words. 

 Modern Plastics 45(11) :1 76-197. 1968. 



a' Furniture, Phase II. Modern Plastics 47(8) :56- 



60. 1970. 



32 Anonymous. A plastic trend in furniture's future. 

 Business Week 2144:112-113. Sept. 26, 1970. 



Clark, Edward L. Plastics and the future of the furniture 

 industry in the United States. Forest Prod. J. 21(8) :14-16. 

 1971. 



