DEMAND FOR TIMBER PRODUCTS' 



209 



Table 151.— Summary oj sawtimber consumption by species group and major product, 1952, 1962, and 1970, 

 with projections oj demand (medium level x ) under alternative price assumptions to 2000 



[Billion board feet, International 34 -inch log rule] 



Species group and product 



SOFTWOODS 



Saw logs 



Veneer logs 



Pulpwood 



Miscellaneous products 4 



Fuelwood 



Total 6 



HARDWOODS 



Saw logs 



Veneer logs 



Pulpwood 



Miscellaneous products 4 



Fuelwood 



Total 5 



ALL SPECIES 



Saw logs 



Veneer logs 



Pulpwood 



Miscellaneous products 4 



Fuelwood 



Total 5 



1952 



31.8 



1.9 



4.3 



1. 2 



. 6 



39. 9 



7. 1 

 1. 1 

 . 4 

 1. 2 

 1. 7 



11.6 



39.0 

 3.0 

 4.7 

 2.4 

 2. 3 



51. 6 



1962 



30. 8 



4.9 



5.0 



. 9 



. 1 



41.7 



6.5 



1.6 



2. 2 



. 6 



.7 



11. 7 



37.2 

 6. 5 

 7.2 

 1. 5 



53. 3 



1970 



31. 6 



6.8 



8.0 



1.0 



. 1 



47.6 



7.3 

 1.8 

 2. 2 



.7 

 . 3 



12. 3 



38.9 

 8. 6 



10. 2 

 1. 7 



59. 9 



Projections 



1970 relative prices 



1980 



38. 5 



10.0 



9. 2 



1.0 



. 1 



58.9 



8.9 

 2. 5 

 3.8 



. 7 

 . 3 



16. 3 



47. 4 



12. 5 



13.0 



1. 7 



. 4 



75. 2 



1990 



42. 2 



11. 5 



11. 6 



1.0 



. 1 



66; 5 



10. 6 

 3. 1 

 5.5 



.7 

 . 3 



20. 3 



52. 8 



14. 6 



17. 1 



1. 7 



2000 



43. 9 



13.0 



14. 5 



1.0 



. 1 



72. 6 



11.8 

 3.5 

 7.9 



. 7 

 .3 



24. 3 



55. 7 



16. 5 



22. 4 



1. 7 



. 4 



96. 9 



Rising relative 

 prices 2 



1980 



33. 3 



8.9 



8. 2 



. 9 



. 1 



51. 5 



7.7 



2. 2 



3. 5 



.7 

 . 3 



14. 5 



41.0 



11. 1 



11.7 



1.6 



. 4 



66.0 



1990 



33. 1 

 9.8 



10. 1 

 . 9 

 . 1 



54. 1 



8.4 



2. 5 



4.8 



. 6 



. 3 



16. 7 



41. 5 



12. 3 



14. 9 



1. 5 



. 4 



70.8 



2000 



31.4 

 10.0 

 12. 6 



55.0 



8. 6 



2. 6 



6.9 



. 6 



. 3 



19. 1 



40. 



12.6 



19. 5 



1.4 



. 4 



74. 1 



Relative prices above 

 1970 averages 3 



1980 



31. 5 



8. 1 



8.0 



.9 



. 1 



48. 7 



7.4 

 2. 1 

 3.4 



. 7 

 . 3 



14.0 



38.9 



10. 2 



11.4 



1. 6 



. 4 



62.7 



1990 



35. 1 

 9.4 



10. 2 

 . 9 

 . 1 



55.8 



9.0 

 2. 5 



4.8 

 . 7 

 .3 



17.4 



44. 1 



11. 9 



15.0 



1.6 



. 4 



73.2 



2000 



37. 1 



10.6 



13. 1 



.9 



. 1 



61.fi 



10. 1 



2.7 



7. 2 



.7 



. 3 



21. 1 



47.2 



13. 3 



20. 3 



1. 6 



. 4 



83.0 



' Based on the medium projections of growth in popula- 

 tion and economic activity shown in the introductory 

 section of this chapter. 



2 Relative prices rising from 1970 trend levels as follows: 

 lumber— 1.5 percent per year; plywood, miscellaneous 

 product, and fuelwood — 1.0 percent per year; paper and 

 board — 0.5 percent per year. 



3 Relative prices of lumber and plywood — 30 percent, 

 miscellaneous products and fuelwood — 15 percent, and 

 paper and board— 10 percent, above the 1970 averages. 



4 Includes cooperage logs, poles, piling, fence posts, 

 hewn ties, round mine timbers, box bolts, excelsior bolts, 



chemical wood, shingle bolts, and other miscellaneous 

 items. 



5 Includes imported logs not shown by major product 

 use. 



Note: Data may not add to totals because of rounding. 



Sources: 1952, 1962, and 1970— Based on data pub- 

 lished by the U.S. Departments of Commerce and 

 Agriculture. 



Projections: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest 

 Service. 



between 1950 and 1970, from 0.7 to 4.7 billion 

 board feet (table 153; Append. V, tables 33-35). 

 Under the assumptions discussed above, pro- 

 jected exports in terms of roundwood rise to 1.8 

 billion cubic feet in 2000, some 29 percent above the 

 volume shipped in 1970. Projected sawtimber ex- 

 ports show about the same trends as roundwood. 



Projected Imports 



Total imports of timber products rose from 1.4 

 billion cubic feet roundwood equivalent in 1950 

 to 2.4 billion cubic feet in 1970 and to 2.9 billion 



in 1972 (table 152, fig. 79; Append. V, tables 30- 

 33). Most of these increased imports consisted of 

 softwood lumber and pulp products from Canada. 

 With 1970 relative prices, projected imports 

 amount to 2.7 billion cubic feet of roundwood 

 equivalent by 1980 (medium projection) and re- 

 main at this level through the projection period. 

 With higher prices covering the costs of developing 

 unused softwood resources in northern parts of 

 Canada, projected imports approximate 4.6 billion 

 cubic feet by 2000 — nearly double the 1970 level 

 (fig. 79). 



