156 



THE OUTLOOK FOR TIMBER IN THE UNITED STATES! 



Table 120.— Average annual production of new housing units, by type of unit, 1920-72, with projections 



to 2000 



[Thousand units] 



1970-79 

 1980-89 

 1990-99 



Period 



Total 

 demand 



Conventional units 



Mobiles 



Total 



One- and 

 two- 

 family 



Multi- 

 family 



Total 



Used as 



primary 



residences 



Not used as 



primary 



residences 



1920-29 



1930-39- 

 1940-49.- 



1950-59 



1960-69 



1970 



803.4 



365. 1 



809.0 



1,522.4 



1,648.7 



1 , 870. 2 

 2,581. 1 

 2,954. 4 



803.4 



365. 1 



780.5 



1,460. 1 



1,443. 2 



1,469. 

 2,084. 5 

 2,378.5 



636. 2 

 319. 7 

 711.2 

 1,318. 

 981. 9 



863. 1 

 1,216.5 

 1,383. 



167.2 



45. 4 



69.3 



142. 1 



461.3 



605. 8 

 868. 1 

 995. 4 















28.5 



62. 6 



205. 5 



401. 2 

 496. 6 

 575.9 







40.4 

 164. 4 



22. 2 

 41. 1 



1971 





1972 























Low projections 



1970-79 

 1980-89 

 1990-99 



2,400. 

 2 , 450. 

 2 , 290. 



l , sso. o 

 1 , 960. 

 1 , 850. 



1,110.0 

 1,330.0 

 1 , 350. 



770. 

 630. 

 500.0 



520. 

 490. 

 440. 



420. 

 390. 

 350. 



100.0 



100.0 



90.0 









Medium 



projections 









1970-79- 



1980-89 



1990-99 



2,500. 

 2,620. 

 2,560. 



1 , 970. 

 2,100. 

 2,070.0 



1 , 160. 

 1,410. 

 1,460.0 



810. 

 690. 

 610.0 



530. 

 520. 

 490. 



420. 

 420. 

 400. 



110.0 



100.0 



90.0 



High projections 



2,580.0 

 2,780. 

 2,930. 



2,040. 

 2,230. 

 2,370. 



1,190.0 

 1,490. 

 1,590.0 



850.0 

 740. 

 780.0 



540. 

 550. 

 560. 



430.0 

 440.0 

 450. 



110. 

 110.0 

 110.0 



Sources: Housing starts, 1929-49 and 1960-62— Forest 

 service estimates derived from data in the following 

 sources: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the 

 Census: Housing construction statistics, 1889 to 1964 1966- 

 1950 census of housing. Vol. I, Pt. 2, 1953; U.S. Department 

 of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nonfarm housing 

 starts, 1889-1958. Bull. 1260, 1959; U.S. Department of 

 Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 1950-59— United States 

 census of housing, 1960. Vol. IV, Pt. 1-A, 1962; 1963-69— 



Housing starts. Cons. Rep. Ser. C21-71-6, 1971 • 1970-72 



Housing starts. Cons. Rep. Ser. C20-73-3, 1973 



Total mobile homes, 1940-49— Forest Service estimates 

 derived from data in U.S. Department of Commerce 

 Bureau of the Census. 1950 census of housing. Vol. I, Pt. 1, 

 1953; 1950-59 — Forest Service estimates derived from 

 data in U.S. Department of Commerce, Business and 



Defense Services Administration. Construction Review. 7(3) 

 1961; Construction Review. 12(8), 1966; Mobile Home/ 

 Recreational Dealer Magazine. Market Study, 1967-1968, 

 196 9; 1960-63 — U ' S " De P ar tment of Commerce, Business 

 and Defense Services Administration. Construction Review; 

 1964-1969— Bureau of the Census. Housing starts. Cons' 

 Rep. Ser. C20-71-6, 1971; 1970-72— Housing starts. Cons. 

 Rep. Ser. C20-73-3. 1973. 



Mobiles used as primary residences, Forest Service 

 estimates derived fiom data published by U.S. Department 

 of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. United States census 

 of housing, 1960. Vol. IV, Pt. 1-A. 1962. 



Projections: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest 

 Service. 



a reflection of the decline in birth rates in the 

 1960's. By 2000, however, projected housing 

 demand rises again to about 2.8 million units. 

 The high and low projections follow similar 

 trends. 



The projections of housing demand in the 1970's 

 used in this study are somewhat below National 



housing goals. 19 Differences between these goals 

 and the high projection of this study, for example, 

 amount to 0.8 million units over the 1973-78 

 period. 



19 U.S. Congress, House Committee on Housing and 

 Currency. 2nd Annual report on national housing goals. 

 U.S. Cong., 91st, 2nd sess., Hous. Doc. 91-292. 1970. 



