210 



THE OUTLOOK FOR TIMBER IN THE UNITED STATES 



Table 152. — Summary of roundwood consumption, exports, imports, and production from U.S. forests, 1952, 

 1962, and 1970, with projections {medium level l ) under alternative price assumptions to 2000 ' 



[Billion cubic feet, roundwood equivalent] 



Item 



SOFTWOODS 



U.S. consumption 



Exports 



Imports 



Production from U.S. forests 5 



HARDWOODS 



U.S. consumption 



Exports 



Imports 



Production from U.S. forests 5 



ALL SPECIES 



U.S. consumption 



Exports 



Imports 



Production from U.S. forests 5 



1952 



8.4 



. 2 



1. 3 



7.3 



3.5 



( 4 ) 

 . 1 

 3. 5 



11.9 



. 2 



1.4 



10.8 



1962 



8.5 



.4 



1. 7 



7.2 



3. 1 

 . 1 



. 2 

 3.0 



11.6 



.5 



1.9 



10. 2 



1970 



9.7 



1. 2 



2. 1 



3.0 

 . 2 

 .3 



2. 9 



12. 7 

 1. 4 

 2.4 



11.7 



Projections 



1970 relative 

 prices 



1980 



12. 1 



1. 7 



2. 3 

 11. 5 



4. 3 

 . 2 

 . 4 



4. 1 



16. 4 

 1.9 

 2. 7 



15. 6 



1 Based on the medium projections of growth in popula- 

 tion and economic activity shown in the introductory 

 section of this chapter. 



2 Relative prices rising from 1970 trend level as follows: 

 lumber — 1.5 percent per 3^ear; plywood, miscellaneous 

 products, and fuel wood — 1.0 percent per year; paper and 

 board — 0.5 percent per year. 



3 Relative prices of lumber and plywood — 30 percent, 

 miscellaneous products and fuelwood — 15 percent, and 

 paper and board — 10 percent above the 1970 averages. 



1990 



14. 1 

 1.6 

 2. 3 



13.4 



5.5 

 . 2 

 . 4 



5. 3 



19. 6 

 1.8 

 2. 7 



18.7 



2000 



15. 8 

 1.6 

 2.3 



15. 1 



7.0 

 . 2 

 . 4 



6.8 



22. 8 

 1.8 

 2.7 



21. 9 



Rising relative 

 prices 2 



1080 



11. 2 

 1. 7 

 3. 1 

 9. 8 



4.0 

 . 2 

 . 5 



3.7 



15. 2 

 1.9 

 3.6 



13. 5 



1990 



12.4 

 1.6 

 3. 7 



10. 3 



4.7 

 . 2 

 . 5 



4. 4 



17. 1 

 1. 8 

 4. 2 



14.7 



2000 



13. 5 

 1. 6 

 4.0 



11. 1 



5.7 

 . 2 

 .6 



5.3 



19. 2 

 1. 8 

 4. 6 



16. 4 



Relative prices 

 above 1970 

 averages 3 



1980 



10. 7 

 1. 7 

 3. 2 

 9. 2 



3. 9 

 . 2 

 .6 



3.5 



14. 6 

 1. 9 



3.8 



12. 7 



1990 



12. 7 

 1.6 

 3.6 



10. 7 



4.9 

 .2 

 .6 



4. 5 



17. 6 

 1.8 

 4. 2 



15. 2 



2000 



14.3 

 1.6 

 3.7 



12. 2 



6.4 

 . 2 

 .6 



6.0 



20. 7 

 1.8 

 4. 3 



18. 2 



4 Less than 50 million cubic feet. 



5 The data for 1952, 1962, and 1970 are estimates of 

 actual harvests and are not directly comparable with the 

 trend level estimates of supply shown in Chapter II. 



Note: Data may not add to totals because of rounding. 



Sources: 1952-70 — Based on data published by the U.S. 

 Departments of Commerce and Agriculture. 



Projections: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest 

 Service. 



Imports and exports of timber products, 

 1940-72, with projections*to 2000 



Imports 



Exports 



1940 1960 1980 2000 1940 1960 1980 



otive prices 30 percent above 1970 average for lumber, etc. 



Figure 79 



Projected imports in terms of sawtimber follow- 

 about the same trend as total roundwood, that is, 

 show comparatively little change with 1970 

 relative prices but substantia] increases under the 

 higher assumptions. 



Projected Net Imports 



Between 1950 and 1970 growth in imports 

 roughly equalled the rise in exports; as a result, 

 net annual imports remained fairly stable at about 

 1.3 billion cubic feet and composed about 11 per- 

 cent of consumption. Net imports rose to a peak 

 of 1.6 billion cubic feet in 1972, but remain at 

 about 11 percent of U.S. consumption. 



Net imports of products derived from sawtimber 

 increased from around 2 billion board feet in the 

 early 1950's to over 4 billion feet in the early 

 1970's. Most of this growth reflected the sharp rise 



