CONTENTS 



Page 



STUDY OBJECTIVES 1 



PREVIOUS UNEVEN- AGED, WHOLE-STAND SIMULATORS 1 



STUDY DATA BASE 2 



Plot Characteristics 2 



Data Problems 3 



Plot and Subplot Allocation 4 



SIMULATOR DEVELOPMENT 4 



Growth 4 



DISTRIBUTION WITHIN DIAMETER CLASS AND DIAMETER CLASS 



SIZE 5 



DIAMETER GROWTH 5 



Initial Review and Modeling Decisions 5 



Development of Equations 6 



Log of Basal Area Growth Equations 7 



Check for Normality and Homogeneous Variance 9 



Log Bias 9 



Models of Mean Residuals 9 



Prediction of Basal Area Growth and Diameter Growth. . 10 

 An Initial Evaluation of the Log of Basal Area 



Growth Equations 11 



Mortality 12 



Conversion from Blackjack Pine to Yellow Pine 15 



Recruitment 2 3 



TOTAL INGROWTH 24 



THROUGH-GROWTH 26 



Height and Cubic-foot Volume Equations 29 



EVEN-AGED HEIGHT EQUATION 29 



UNEVEN-AGED HEIGHT EQUATION 29 



TOTAL STEM CUBIC-FOOT VOLUME EQUATIONS 30 



Structure of Simulator 30 



VALIDATION OF SIMULATOR 30 



Applying the Rules 32 



Results of Validation 33 



PREDICTED UPGROWTH; ACTUAL MORTALITY, CONVERSION, 



INGROWTH 33 



PREDICTED UPGROWTH AND MORTALITY; ACTUAL CONVERSION 



AND INGROWTH 34 



