Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 
73 
has been found, owing to the different estimates formed by dif- 
ferent observers of what constitutes an accurate forecast. Of 
two recipients in the year 1880, situated in the same district, 
and under reasonably similar conditions of weather, one re- 
ported 30 per cent, of total failures, and 13 per cent, of entire 
successes. The other gave no total failures at all, and 48 per 
cent, of absolute successes ! It is obvious that each of these 
estimates requires to be taken with reservation. 
Summary of Results of Hay Harvest Forecasts in Percentages. 
Complete 
Partial 
Partial 
Complete 
Total 
success. 
success. 
failure. 
failure. 
success. 
1879. 1880, 
1879. 
1880. 
1879. 
1880, 
1879. 
1880. 
1879, 
1880. 
Scotland, N 
47 
48 
34 
42 
11 
8 
8 
2 
81 
90 
E 
44 
52 
31 
29 
16 
16 
9 
3 
75 
81 
England, n.e. 
51 
39 
30 
31 
11 
24 
8 
6 
81 
70 
E 
47 
44 
23 
40 
20 
12 
10 
4 
70 
84 
Midland Counties 
65 
49 
18 
34 
13 
15 
4 
2 
83 
83 
England, s 
55 
32 
33 
41 
12 
22 
0 
5 
88 
73 
Scotland, w 
44 
31 
23 
37 
14 
18 
19 
14 
67 
68 
England, n.w. . . 
51 
29 
23 
42 
18 
25 
8 
4 
74 
71 
„ S.W. .. 
51 
42 
21 
44 
17 
11 
11 
3 
72 
86 
Ireland, N 
43 
17 
37 
39 
9 
39 
11 
5 
80 
56 
s 
27 
86 
32 
36 
26 
28 
15 
0 
59 
72 
48 
38 
28 
38 
15 
20 
9 
4 
76 
76 
The inspection of the table shows unexpected contrasts be- 
tween the results for the two years. The only district for which 
the " total " figures are unchanged is that of the Midland Coun- 
ties. The South of England shows a falling-ofF of 15 per cent, 
in 1880 as compared with 1879, while two districts adjacent to 
it indicate an improvement of 14 per cent. In the three last- 
named cases the reports have been furnished by the same gentle- 
men in both years. 
The lowest figures in each year are for a district in Ireland. 
Mr. Milward, at New Ross, reports an improvement of 13 per 
cent, in 1880, while Mr. Simson, of Ballinrobe, only recognises 
56 per cent, of success in 1880; being a falling off of 24 per 
cenf-. on the results for the previous year. These latter, how- 
ever, were obtained from the average of two stations, one of 
