346 
Home Produce, Imports, Consumjjtion^ 
The next point is to test, as far as the means exist to that 
end, the correctness of the estimates of the aggregate home 
produce, and of the consumption per head per annum, as given 
in our former paper for the first sixteen years, and as annually 
published as forecasts since that period. 
In our annual estimates we have adopted a figure for the 
average produce per acre over the United Kingdom, calcu- 
lated the aggregate produce, deducted from this the amount 
required for seed, and then estimated how much would be 
required, from stocks and imports, to make up the total require- 
ment for consumption, this being reckoned at a fixed rate per 
head of the population. Now, however, we have the actual 
record of the imports each year, as a fixed element of the inquiry ; 
and, adopting the same returns or estimates as to area and popu- 
lation as heretofore, the question now is — not what will be the 
imports, but how far the estimates of home produce have been 
correct ? and how far these estimated amounts, minus the 
quantities required for seed, and plus the actual imports, give 
a total corresponding with the estimated requirement for con- 
sumption ? 
The following Table shows the averages, for the first eight, 
for the second eight, for the third eight, for the succeeding three, 
and for the total period of twenty-seven years, of — 
1. The aggregate home produce of wheat, deduced by calcu- 
lating the amount required for consumption (at the rate of 
5"1 bushels per head per annum during the first eight years, and 
of 5*5 bushels in each subsequent year, as up to this time 
assumed), deducting from this the imports, and adding 2 j bushels 
per acre for seed. 
2. The aggregate home produce calculated according to the 
annual estimates of the average produce per acre, as previously 
published. 
3. The difference between the estimate of total home produce 
founded on consumption and imports, and that founded on the 
annually adopted estimates of average produce per acre. 
4. The average produce per acre, calculated from the aggregate 
home produce founded on the estimated requirements for con- 
sumption, and the imports. 
5. The average produce per acre, according to the annually 
adopted estimates. 
6. The difference between the average produce per acre calcu- 
lated from the aggregate home produce deduced from consump- 
tion and imports, and the annually adopted estimates of average 
produce per acre. 
