[ 4io ] 
this would warrant would be fuch as follow 
There would be the odds of the millioneth power 
of 2, to one, that it was likely that it would return again 
at the end of the uiual interval. There would be the 
probability expreffed by -5352, that the odds for this 
was not greater than 1.600,000 to 1 ; And the pro- 
bability expreffed by .5105, that it was not lefs than 
1 .400,000 to i . 
It fhould be carefully remembered that thefe de- 
ductions luppofe a previous total ignorance of nature. 
Alter having obferved for fome time the courfe of 
events it would be found that the operations of nature 
are in general regular, and that the powers and laws 
which prevail in it are liable and parmanent. The 
confideration of this will caufe one or a few experi- 
ments often to produce a much ffronger expectation of 
fuccefs in further experiments than would other wife 
have been reafonable; juff as the frequent obfervation 
that things of a fort are difpofed together in any place 
would lead us to conclude, upon difcovering there 
any objeCt of a particular fort, that there are laid up 
with it many others of the fame fort. It is obvious 
that this, fo far from contradicting the foregoing de- 
ductions, is only one particular cafe to which they are 
to be applied. 
What has been faid feems fufficient to fhew us 
what conclufions to draw from uniform experience. 
It demonflrates, particularly, that inftead of proving 
that events will always happen agreeably to it, there 
will be always reafon aguinft this conclufion. In other 
words, where the. courfe of nature has been the molt 
conftant, we can have only reafon to reckon upon a 
recurrency of events proportioned to the degree of 
this 
