July i, jSqi.] 
fHF TROPICAL AGRICULTURIST. 
43 
We now turn to the Kelani Valley and 
the lowoountry generally, A return sent round 
the premier lowoountry dietriot was only im- 
peiteotly filled np ; but adding in for the 
estates left b ank as well as our means of informa- 
tion will permit, we get a total outturn of 5,527,300 
lb. and wo fancy that the six million lb. will be 
sent away. Again for the Kalutara district, the 
estimate furnished to us is for 1,750 000 lb. which 
will also no doubt prove below the mark. For Bala- 
pitiya and Ambalangoda we got an estimate of 
155,000 lb.; for Udugama and the rest of the 
lowoountry, we suppose we may add a million lb. 
giving a grand total for the lowoountry par excellence 
of about 0 million lb- We have still the Balan- 
goda, Euruwita, Kukwana, Kukulu and Morawak 
Koralo tea estates to take into auoount The 
estimates furnished to us, were as follows ; — 
BiUngoda 
Kakwaiia 
Kurnwita 
Kukulu Koralo 
Morawak „ 
846.000 lb. 
000,000 „ 
80,010 „ 
SOO.OUU „ 
700.000 „ 
Total ... 2,325,000 lb. 
We find one omission in not allowing for some 
700 acres of tea in Kegalla and Pulgahuwela which 
may bring tho above up to 2} million lb. 
We may now attempt a summing-up ot our divi- 
sional figures as follows : — lb. 
Northern and Midland districts .. 22 millions. 
Dimbula, Dikoya and Maskeliya (Gay) 21 „ 
Nowara Bliya Division .. ..3 „ 
Uv» ,, .. .. 34 II 
Kelani Valley, Kalutara and low- 
eunntry generally . . . . 9 „ 
Bakwann Group .. .,24 ., 
Grand Total . , , , 61 „ 
It is interesting now to contrast these figures with 
the estimates oficred at the beginning of the year 
for the whole island : — lb. 
Mr. H. K. llntherford’a . . . . 62,750,000 
Mr. A. E. Seovell .. .. 54,000,000 
Mr. B. Porter (max. 67, min. 63) . . 65,000,000 
Mr, \Y, Mackenzie .. 54 to 56,000,000 
Ceylon Observer . . . . . ■ 56,000,000 
Mr, C. Armstrong — over.. .. .56,0u0,000 
Mr. W. F. Laurie (max. 00, mm; 56 ) 58,OuO,OUO 
To this we may add the fact of shipments up 
to 18th May reaching to nearly 26 millions, 
pointing to a total for tho year of not less than 
63 to 65 million lb. Of course long-continued 
unfavourable weather during the present and next 
monsoons may make a difference and cause a 
considerable falling-ufl in shipments; but judging 
by the experienoes of the past four years, we 
most fully expect to see today’s detailed estimate 
ot 61 millions exceeded by the total shipments of 
tea tor 1891. 
As regards the future, we can only at present 
lay tho following extract from the letter of an 
experienced planter before our readers, and we 
believe there is enough in it to cause serious thought 
to all interested in "Ceylon Tea ” ; — 
“ Were I able to spot one block of land similar 
to Mariawatte’s original 100 acres, I would have 
bought it any time within the last seven years, for 
I have been all that time looking out for it 1 Maria- 
watte had never grown coffee as all such land at 
average elevation had done, which was not often 
ohonaed. In Dimbula and Dikoya, I believe there 
are 20,000 to 30,000 acres, which, if planted originally 
in lea, would have given 800 to 1,000 lb. per 
aero. In the older districis, there is a similar 
srea which under tho same oiroumstanoea would have 
gifca l,000iO 1,200 lb. per acre, Borne virgin land 
in the highest part of Kelabokka or East Matale 
is now giving over 900 lb. per acre. Ukuwala 
neighbourhood can bo worked up to this yield. 
Tea is not yet in full bearing in those ooff 'e 
districts ; but already we hear of fields, nay whole 
estates, giving 480, 600 and 550 lb. per acre, and 
of one, from which 600 lb. are expected. With culti- 
vation and manuring even to a smalt extent, 1 
believe 40,000 to 50,0i’0 acres in the eoffee dis- 
tricts, would average 600 lb. — the best 10,000 acres 
giving 800 lb.” 
This means that 50,0''0 acres of nur best tealand 
are to yield 32 million lb. ! What then are we to put 
down for the other 200,000 aorts ? Certainly not 
less than 75 millions, so hero we are face to face 
in a very short time, with a possible export from 
tho island exceeding 100 million lb. Who would 
plant more tea in Ceylon after this ? 
Coi'i'BE — Cocoa — Camiamoms — CisenoKA Bask. 
In our notice of the Eelimatos and probable 
Crops of other Products — spirt from Tea — our re- 
marks may bo very brief at this time. Tea has 
become of such overwhelming importance in the 
planting enterprise, and the accesge under other pro- 
ducts ie so comparatively limited, that there is 
not room for much disenssion or speculation about 
(listriot leturns. First of all, we may give the 
estimates of two experienoed Visiting Agents in 
respect of the Export of OevifEE during 1891 : — 
Probable 
Maximum. Minimum. figures, 
Cwfc. Owfc. Owt. 
Estimated ... 60.000 ... 50,009 ... 55,000 
Do. ...100,000 ... 80,000 ... 90,000 
Here there ia a wide disorepHuoy ; but judging by 
a certain number of carefully compiled disirict 
returns we think it will be safe to take 75,000 owt. 
as the probable outturn. 'This would inolude soma 
22,000 owt. from Haputale, and perhaps 20,000 owt. 
from the rest of Uva. Of more immediate interest 
ia the return of shipments to date as contrasted 
with the rest of the year, thus : — 
CoPFKE ExrOllTS. 
Up to 25th May. Uestofyoar. 
Total. 
1891 
. . cwta. 
3,5,471 (say) 
4I),OOI) (say) 76,471 
1890 
• • •? 
48,91.5 
37, (.MM) 
80,(K)9 
1889 
• • 
32,270 
50, (HK) 
88,082 
1888 
• • It 
72,781 
07,(KM) 
339,003 
At present there are heavy pkkiugs of irup in 
Haputale and it will bo disappointing, if our 
moderate estimate is not realized. 
As regards Cocoa or Cacao, two estimates for 
the island before us come a good deal closer than 
in the case of the estimates for coffee, namely,— 
Expouts op Cocoa in 1891. 
Maximum. Minimum. Probahle. 
Cwt. 18,IKX) 16 ,(KX) 17,0(K) 
„ 17,0<K) 14,1)00 li'i.lXXJ 
A detailed estimate for a large proportion of the 
districts adds up to 12,230 owt. (including 7,000 owt. 
for Dumbara, 2,500 for Kurunegala, 1,000 owt. for 
Matale North and 780 owt. for Mouaragula) but 
about oiie-tourlh of tho acreage is unrepresented 
and that would lead ns to place tho estimate at 
about 16,0 )0 cwt. Here again, however, is the 
oomparison between shipm mts to date and tho 
total for tour years, pointing to a probable export 
for 1891 up to, if not in excess of, the highest 
estimate 1 How is this accounted for ? 
ExroBTS 
OP Cocoa : 
Up to 
Heflt of 
25th May. Yenr. 
Total, 
1891 . . 
lb. 11,388 
Isay) 6,000 (say) 
17,388 
1890 . . 
„ 8 588 
7,400 
15 981 
1889 .. 
„ 7,535 
11,500 
19.054 
1888 . . 
„ T,C41 
6,600 
13,169 
